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February 15, 2007

Seasonal business

Cabbage1_2People (i.e. me) who either do not regularly food shop or if they do, they do so in Western supermarkets have long forgotten the seasons. Living in Dushanbe is a good way to refresh your agri-business knowledge, especially after a visit at the Zelyony Bazaar (Green Market, a must in any Central Asian city).

A pumpkin in the summer? Impossible to find … and you realize (after the merchants laugh at you) that maybe the fall is a better season! What about a lemon in August? You can get away with it, provided you are ok with spending $1 (in a country where the average monthly salary is about $40). For the same price in the summer you can get 2 kilos of great peaches or grapes or 3 kilos of tomatoes.

Sad news comes with the winter. You finally get your long-awaited pumpkin, but the prices fluctuate (i.e. increase), the market rarefies (i.e. empty spaces abound) and a salad - cabbage aside - is quite a hard catch. Yes, in Tajikistan, there is no refrigeration of fruit and vegetables and the imports are very limited, so you have to adjust your tastes to what the fresh market can offer, or turn to the preserved products.

And here comes another interesting fact.

If you do shop for basic processed foods such as milk or canned tomatoes, you suddenly realize there's a "missing market", as economists would call it.

In a country with significant agricultural production, most dairy products sold in the local supermarkets come from Russia, Ukraine or the neighboring Kyrgyz Republic. Canned tomatoes come from Iran. You wonder why in a country with great tomatoes and cows.  Well, mid-size businesses, such as tomato or milk processing factories, are struggling to reach the viable size and required quality standards. The reasons are various. 

First, the lack of funding from investors and financial institutions constrains the technology upgrades needed to bring the production up to the world standards.

Second, setting up well-organized supply chains is difficult.

Finally, the regulatory environment for business is unfriendly. To start a business you have to go through a complicated and expensive business registration procedure, after which you need to obtain a license often followed by an additional set of permits and certifications. After that you face a host of inspections by different regulatory bodies, including very frequent ones from the tax authorities. The entire process is extremely complicated, time consuming, and expensive, and creates a disincentive for entrepreneurs to enter the market.

All of us hope this situation will improve and we are actually working on it. If things improve and a new local agribusiness sector develops, this country could substitute expensive imports with local products. This will benefit everybody: the consumers, who will enjoy cheaper products, the businesses who will grow their profits creating new jobs, and the government which will enjoy higher tax revenues.

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Local strawberries in season

Although I appreciate being able to eat strawberries-in-winter I still miss those very special strawberries that you could only get only once a year, early summer, in strawberry season. As an economist I would have to say they had that very special taste of scarcity—and scarcity allowed them to provide their growers a quite decent return. Their disappearance happened when such strawberries were forced to compete, marginal cost against marginal cost, with other brutally efficient quasi-strawberries that could be transported overnight, into your local supermarkets, at anytime and in any quantities.

As the world allowed those coming from anywhere at anytime to count as the same as your neighbor’s at-their-right-time strawberries, we—if I may mix a metaphor—mixed apples with pears, created confusion, and destroyed important economic value. This mess in the strawberry patches of the world can still be corrected though. Currently as a result of World Trade Organization’s negotiations only champagne from Champagne can be called champagne and the rest has to be labeled as produced by the Méthode Champenoise. If we were to broaden these criteria there is nothing that stops us from marketing any local-strawberries-in-season as strawberries, while requiring all others to label themselves as close-to-being-strawberries berries—and this way all strawberries would survive.

It is quite clear from the awakening of protectionism that something dramatic has to be done, and perhaps a much clearer market segmentation could be the key to keep borders from closing up, and having to wave good-bye to all those ersatz strawberries that even while never the same as their summer cousins, are still quite nice to have in winter. But if the worst happens, let’s find some consolation in the fact that strawberries-in-winter could turn out to be a new and profitable smuggling alternative for some of the uglier cartels, while being much less harmful to us all.

An extract from my Voice and Noise, BookSurge 2006


...Offerings in the markets are not always what they appear...investigations into the greenmarkets in Baku for example revealed that Iranian cucumber imports totally outcompete the local, and this in spite of Azerbaijnan's healthy horticultural sector and greenhouse production...but you would never know where they came from unless you were at the greenmarket from 3AM to see the trucks unloading!

http://unchainedmarkets.blogspot.com/


we visited two times to dushanbe for purchase of dry and fresh fruits for india but could notfind a proper trader or exporter and banking system and infrastructure to lift goods from dushanbe to new delhi.if you can help us providing a proper person,we shall be tankful to you.we have our links for lifting goods in cargo but we do not have any links for sourcing of goods-whether it is fresh fruit,dry fruit or pulses.


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